Friday, October 17, 2008

The Bridge Over the River Kwai

Malaysians of a certain vintage may be aware of the classic movie, The Bridge Over the River Kwai. It tells of the terrible fate of the British POWs that were interned by the Japanese in Northern Thailand. The Japanese army wanted to construct a bridge over the River Kwai to enable the invasion of Burma.

The protagonist British Colonel, played by the great thespian the late Sir Alec Guinness aka old Obi Wan Kenobi in Star Wars, wanted to raise the poor morale of the British POWs. Thus, he did a deal with the Japanese commander to obtain better privileges for fellow prisoners in exchange for which he would inspire and cajole them to embark on the enterprise. He was very proud of the bridge when it was finally constructed and, ready for use.
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In the mean time, the Allied Forces were terribly concerned about the bridge which posed a strategic threat to their defence of Burma. A rascally American poseur, played by the late William Holden, that escaped as a POW from the Northern Thai area was conscripted into the team of commandos to blow up the bridge.

As it turned out, upon the bridge being successfully rigged with dynamite to be blown to smithereens, the river's water level started to ebb and, upon closer inspection by the Guinness character, the charge wires were spotted. Things threatened to go awry. Together with the Japanese commander, the British colonel started inspecting the river banks to discover the British commando tasked with triggering the charge.

In the struggle that ensued, the British colonel, who had developed a warm bond with the Japanese colonel, instinctively raised the alarm causing the commando to be killed after himself having killed the Japanese commander. In desperation, the Holden character swam across the river to detonate the bridge only to find a determined British colonel thwarting his efforts. The Holden character was killed. Only then did it dawn on the British colonel that he had, in his absolute commitment to the task of constructing the bridge, lost his entire perspective. There he was, a British officer, a POW, having prevented the Allied commandos from sabotaging the Japanese invasion of Burma. At that moment of realisation, he was shot and as he fell dead, his body pushed down the charge and blew up the bridge as the Japanese train carrying the first wave of Japanese soldier's crashed into the river.

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WTO and GATS
The Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI) has worked assiduously over the past several years to protect Malaysian economic interests while having a Hobson's choice (meaning, no choice) in NOT being a part of the global economic community.

Malaysia is an open economy which exports and imports goods and services and, permits the relatively free flow of capital into and, out of the country.

I just want to focus on the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) this time.

The principle behind GATS is the opening of the services sector of each member country. This will enable financial institutions, architectural firms, engineering firms, law firms and so on from other countries to set up shop in Malaysia without major restrictions.

I am not certain about the other services sector but, in the case of legal services, Malaysian lawyers appear to be relatively sanguine about the impending opening of their profession in the coming years. This attitude stems from relative ignorance about the economic impact that GATS will have on their profession. The attitude also stems from the belief that only the largest foreign law firms would bother to open shop in Kuala Lumpur. They also believe that foreign law firms will just concentrate on large infrastructure and financing contracts in which the foreign lawyers wil represent foreign contractors and investors.

But, what if lower-cost Indian and Filipino lawyers want to set up shop here to compete on land transfers, end-financing contracts and sale of property? Isn't that possible?

Inevitable outcomes
What I have said is not meant to denigrate the legal services sector. Instead, it is meant to lead to my point that even if the legal services sector had taken a hard line approach and made strong submissions to MITI that it opposes any opening up of the legal services sector, there is nary a thing that MITI can do.

Does that surprise you?

It is not that MITI is useless. Indeed, to the contrary, there is every indication that MITI has worked very hard to champion Malaysian interests. But, GATS covers all services. There cannot be any exceptions.

I am aware that while the Bar Council members were scratching their heads and nether parts, MITI fired a warning shot that if the lawyers did not give their input, MITI would still have to follow the GATS agenda with or without input from the lawyers!

Now, THAT is globalisation for you.

My question to the Malaysian government is, why couldn't MITI despatch a few economics-trained MITI boys and girls to help the hapless lawyers, not to mention other services, think through the matter of the opening up of their sectors and, the economic implications of such an opening?

And, their omission to do so lends credence to the fact that, first, MITI may be suffering from The Bridge Over the River Kwai syndrome, forgetting that the services need protection and guidance and, instead, giving more importance to the well-funded and bloated economics of the banking and financial services sector that says they are ready for globalisation. Second, the idea of Malaysia Inc is proven to be a myth since, unlike the Japanese zaibatsu and kereitsu, Malaysian economic participants in the services sector are truly orphaned in the wake of WTO and GATS.

9 comments:

walla said...

If memory serves, the miti group was chewed to ribbons, particularly by the americans, who at the first set of dialogues on gats way back in...1990...remarked they didn't know what they were doing. A disquieting statement, considering how scholars from here were once the toast of the entire commonwealth.

The other syndrome, the bridge too far syndrome, swears by open economy - no barriers to anything and no duties, tariffs etc. Perhaps like HK.

Maybe that's the only transforming thrust we need now before it becomes inevitable later. Earlier better or better never? No one has bothered to candidly offer a scenario for this.

de minimis said...

hi walla

The opening of economies for global competition is a good thing in principle. But Malaysia, despite pronouncements to the contrary by the "powers that be" is NOT a large country. It is still and "emerging economy".

That said, the role of the government is crucial. In the case of GATS, many services industry associations outside of the banking and financial services sector, do not have the resources and skills to produce a comprehensive study of the impact of GATS opening on their sector. y point is that the government has a duty and, and obligation, to provide such resources.

Left to their own limited resources, the stakeholders for these sectors cannot project ahead and econometrically construct the scenarios that may arise so that they can formulate their submissions to MITI.

Malaysians can compete. But they should not be "ambushed" just because of lack of exposure to more sophisticated colleagues from more developed jurisdictions.

walla said...

And that has been left to fallow for...51 years now?

When they lifted the import duties on foodstuff, the local producers expanded instead of reeling. Biscuits and frozen seafood factories mushroomed.

Maybe they should return the duty-free status to Penang for a start. After all those foreign plants there already get off with a lot of tax free items. Make Penang a more thriving metropolis.

The opportunity costs for not doing so in the past few years before this time would have been incalculable.

Stagnation makes sterility.

de minimis said...

bro walla

thanks for the url link to the citi econ report. good stuff.

i agree with your proposal. restore free port status to penang and what an incredible economic scenario for malaysia

walla said...

After asking that rhetorical question above, i thought to myself if the best in local banking could let themselves be ambushed by the indons over the BII deal, what hope does this country have that the best in the public sector would ever not be ambushed by others in international trade negotiations? A veritable nil. If that be the case, they shouldn't waste anymore time to release such data as would enable the private sectors to construct their own scenarios in the event of full market liberalisation. Attend those industry fora and year in year out you will get the same surface-skimming issues, requests and superficial statements only. Both govt and private sectors barely exceed each other in their affected interest on what is discussed and in the poverty of their ideas. It's really quite shambolic. Meanwhile the rest of the world moves on. This is as good a time to reexamine all assumptions on the way they have been carrying on the centralisation of economic planning in this country. It may take another two years before they get their act together but if they don't start now, their natural inertia and cluelessness will make it take forever, if at all.

And these should make for your weekend analysis:

http://ifile.it/61gdbf4
http://ifile.it/2d4imcv
http://ifile.it/jmetbdl

hope sakmongkol can give his thoughts on them too.

de minimis said...

bro walla

keep the "goodies" coming. i'm so info-starved on Malaysia.

yes, you're right. we should get back to basics and reconstruct the principles and delivery of economic matters. the world has changed much since the 2nd Malaysia Plan. more importantly, the actors on the political stage have changed. worse, the civil servants are completely different.

many choose not to believe that during the era of tengku shahriman, for example, the top-tier of the civil service had an "esprit de corp" and full appreciation of the economic principles that underlay the Malaysia Plan. there was a sense of mission. the successors over the past 2 decades, schooled in a different school curriculum, now battle the inability to tap into a greater world of knowledge. three-quarters of humankind's knowledge is repositoried in the English language. without a command of that language, the people charged with Malaysia's administration and economic affairs are that much poorer in the knowledge-capital department.

have a good weekend, bro. and, NO THANKS for fobbing such a heavy "assignment" on me. :)

Anonymous said...

CTChoo

Here I am teleporting *a bouquet of flowers and a box of chocolates to you for this ABSOLUTELY BRIILLIANT POST!!!

*clap clap clap*

Now how can I respond to such a fabulous post plus the riveting and scholarly exchange between you and Walla (Hi Walla!)? But I will try.

Firstly, you have a wonderful writing style and to use "The Bridge Over River Kwai" to illustrate the inefficiency of MITI in relation to the legal sector is truly ingenious.

Secondly, you have brought to our attention a possible scenario that cold hit our shores all too soon and hopefully the parties concerned in the various sectors that will be affected had better wake up and prepare themselves and our country. I really dread to think of the consequences especially on the property market if the worse case scenario occurs. It is most worrying that it seems that both the private and public sectors are withering away slowly but surely in gross apathy to the forces that are in motion.

I am really appalled at the myopic perspective of those who would be affected *shudder* and the implications of the effects on Malaysia.

Thank you Walla for remembering Penang who lost her shine years ago after Tun Lim Chong Eu passed the baton to his successor. To imagine the computations of the opportunity cost of NOT complying to calls to restoring the free port status of Penang is akin to asking us Penangites to dream of subways, trams and trains and a whole range of public goods and services which we desperately need but have yet to enjoy.

As for Walla's final response, I can only read it over and over mouth agape and say WOW! Some analysis!

As for your final response (presumably for the moment ;-) CTChoo, perhaps more could be done on a broader scale but your diagnosis of the cancer eating away at our country must steer and challenge many to awaken from their slumber.

Thanks a lot for this very adroit and dexterously executed post!

*clink*

Cheers!

de minimis said...

Many thanks for such an effusive comment, masterwordsmith

Anonymous said...

It is heart broken to note that until today, our Government still talk about Bumi and Non-Bumi. Could`nt we stay united as Malaysian to stave of foreign economic invasion by year 2010 when the GATS comes into play?

Much had been said about support for SME. But , for a non-bumi to get a loan from the SME bank, you need to have a 3 years track record whereas for the Bumi no 3 years track record is needed.

After 3 years , do I really need a seeding loan ?

What is the role of SMIDEC ? Anything constructive ?

Why don`t we open up the banking sector right now so that the foreign banks can provide
the needed fund to the SME , be they new or in operation.

In Malaysia, the general definition of a bank is true :

A bank is a place where you can get loan if you can prove to them that you just do not need any.

No need to prove viability and profitability of project. No need to justify cash-flow.

Just prove that you do not need the money as your company has too much of it.
They will advise you to keep your money in FD and take loan from them with your FD as
collateral + corporate guarantee + guarantee from all directors + (if possible guarantee from the grandfather and grandmother of the directors).